Trump falsely claimed grocery prices are going down.

Have you ever wondered if the words of a president always match the reality on the ground? In a recent series of social media posts, President Donald Trump claimed that grocery prices are “going down” and “are down.” But is that really the case? Are Americans experiencing a decrease in the cost of their groceries? The truth is quite different. Despite Trump’s assertions, grocery prices have continued to rise under his administration. Even before he imposed near-global 10% tariffs, grocery prices were already on the upward trend. In fact, average grocery prices in March 2025 were about 2.41% higher than they were in March 2024, marking the highest year-over-year grocery inflation rate since August 2023. And it doesn’t end there. Average grocery prices in March 2025 were also up about 0.49% from February 2025, the highest month-to-month grocery inflation rate since October 2022. So, while Trump may claim that grocery prices are going down, the data paints a different picture.

But what about Trump’s argument that the USA is getting rich on tariffs? He suggests that the cost of almost all products, including gasoline and groceries, is going down. However, the reality is that grocery prices are not decreasing. In fact, the recent imposition of 10% tariffs is likely to increase grocery prices even further, although the exact impact remains uncertain. Moreover, Trump’s claim that oil prices are down is true, but he conveniently leaves out the fact that this decline is partly due to concerns that his own tariff policies could slow the global economy and reduce oil demand. While retail gas prices have fallen slightly this month, they are actually up since Trump returned to office in January. And let’s not forget about eggs. Retail egg prices have spiked under Trump due to an avian flu outbreak, reaching a new high in March that was about 25.7% higher than the average in January. While wholesale egg prices have declined, it’s unclear if consumers are truly experiencing a decrease in egg prices.

In assessing Trump’s claims about inflation, it’s important to consider the bigger picture. While there was a tiny decline in overall prices in March 2025 compared to February 2025, this was before the imposition of the 10% tariffs. Even in March, prices were still higher compared to January 2025 and March 2024. So, it seems that Trump’s assertions about decreasing consumer prices are not entirely accurate.

These discrepancies between Trump’s claims and the reality on the ground raise important questions. Can we trust the words of our leaders when they make bold statements about the state of the economy? Should we rely on data and facts to assess the impact of policies on our daily lives? As citizens, it is crucial that we critically evaluate the information presented to us and seek the truth beyond political rhetoric.

1. Grocery prices have been on the rise

Despite President Trump’s claims that grocery prices are going down, the data shows a different story. Consumer Price Index data reveals that average grocery prices in March 2025 were about 2.41% higher than they were in March 2024, marking the highest year-over-year grocery inflation rate since August 2023. This indicates that grocery prices have continued to increase under Trump’s administration.

2. Month-to-month grocery inflation

In addition to the year-over-year increase, average grocery prices in March 2025 were up about 0.49% from February 2025. This represents the highest month-to-month grocery inflation rate since October 2022. While there may be fluctuations in specific grocery stores, the overall trend shows a rise in prices rather than a decrease.

3. Tariffs’ impact on grocery prices

Trump’s imposition of near-global 10% tariffs in early April is expected to further increase grocery prices. While the exact impact remains uncertain, it is certain that these tariffs will have an inflationary effect on consumer goods, including groceries. The exclusion of major agricultural trading partners like Canada and Mexico from the tariffs may mitigate some of the price increases, but it is still expected that grocery prices will rise.

4. Oil prices and their relation to tariffs

Trump mentioned that oil prices are down, but it’s important to note that many analysts attribute this decline to concerns over the potential economic slowdown caused by the tariff wars initiated by Trump himself. The decrease in oil prices is not a result of his policies leading to lower costs for consumers but rather a reflection of global economic concerns.

5. Fluctuations in gas and egg prices

While retail gas prices have fallen slightly in recent months, it is worth noting that prices have actually increased since Trump returned to office in January. Similarly, retail egg prices have spiked due to an avian flu outbreak, reaching a new high in March that was about 25.7% higher than the average in January. Although wholesale egg prices have declined, it remains uncertain if consumers are truly experiencing a decrease in egg prices.

In conclusion, President Donald Trump’s claims that grocery prices are going down and that the USA is getting rich on tariffs are not supported by the data. In fact, grocery prices have continued to rise under his administration. Average grocery prices in March 2025 were 2.41% higher than they were in March 2024, marking the highest year-over-year grocery inflation rate since August 2023. Additionally, average grocery prices in March 2025 were up 0.49% from February 2025, the highest month-to-month grocery inflation rate since October 2022. These increases occurred before Trump imposed 10% tariffs in early April, which are expected to further raise grocery prices. While it’s possible that prices at specific grocery stores may have fallen, the overall trend shows an increase in prices. Trump’s claims about oil prices are also incomplete, as the decline in oil prices is partly related to concerns over the economic impact of his tariff policies. While retail gas prices have fallen slightly in recent months, they have actually increased since Trump returned to office in January. Furthermore, retail egg prices have spiked due to an avian flu outbreak, reaching a new high in March that was 25.7% higher than the average in January. Although wholesale egg prices have declined, it remains uncertain if consumers are truly experiencing a decrease in egg prices. Overall, it is important to critically evaluate the information presented by political leaders and rely on factual data to assess the impact of policies on everyday life.